Reds vs Cubs Prediction - MLB Picks 8/3/23

Chicago Cubs (55-53) vs Cincinnati Reds (59-51)

Game Info: Thursday, August 3, 2023 at 8:05 pm (Wrigley Field)

Jameson Taillon (5-6) (5.36) vs Luke Weaver (2-3) (6.80)

Betting Odds: Chicago Cubs -152 / Cincinnati Reds +120 --- Over/Under: 10 Click Here for the Latest Odds

The Cincinnati Reds and the Chicago Cubs will conclude their divisional series this Thursday from Wrigley Field. Chicago bullied Cincinnati again with a massive game two win, 16-6.

 

Reds Preview & Projected Starter

Cincinnati moved to 59-51 after losing to Chicago. The Reds simply haven't been able to contain or keep up with the Cubs this week, and they'll look to leave the Windy City with some dignity here. flipped the script over the second half of July, but they’ll look to avoid trading their eighth straight game here. The Cincinnati offense is scoring 3.78 runs per game, while batting .257, with a .334 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.96 ERA, with a 1.46 WHIP. 

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Luke Weaver (2-2, 6.72 ERA, 53 Ks) will get the ball for Cincinnati. The journeyman pitcher managed to hop into the win column last week in DC, after holding the Nats to two runs in five innings pitched. Weaver finds himself in an ideal situation on a team who can provide run support, he just has to put up more of a fight to earn victories. Weaver allowed four runs or more in four of five starts prior to the victory over Washington, and he’ll attempt to stay away from that form here in Milwaukee.  

Reds Player Trends & Props

Spencer Steer plated a run in all three matchups with LAD, and he leads the team in hits (103), home runs (15), with 58 RBI. 

Elly De La Cruz homered and recorded four hits in the game three win, and he’s batting .277, with 37 runs scored thru 46 games.

Joey Votto also had a big game on Sunday, going hard and plating three runs to bring his season total to 25 RBI thru 32 contests.

Jake Fraley produced runs in both wins over the Dodgers, and he leads Cincy in RBI (62), with fifteen home runs. 

Cubs Preview & Projected Starter

Chicago comes in at 55-53 after beating Cincinnati. The Cubs put another spanking on the Reds last night, and they'll look to apply more pressure here Thursday. The Chicago offense is scoring 4.12 runs per Game, while batting .243, with a .323 on-base percentage. The pitching staff carries a 4.18 ERA, with a 1.28 WHIP. 

Jameson Taillon (2-6, 6.90 ERA, 27 Ks) will get the ball for Chicago. The eighth-year pitcher managed to toss a season-high eight strikeouts, but he gave up five runs in five innings, and dropped his second straight decision. Taillon has now allowed four runs or more in seven of his last nine starts, while surpassing the five-strikeout mark just once. Taillon just can’t get it going for the Cubs after signing on over the winter, and it’s unclear if things will turn around for him this season. 

Cubs Player Trends & Props

Cody Bellinger has collected a hit in eight of the previous ten Games, and he’s leading the Cubs in batting (.314), with fifteen home runs and 46 RBI. 

Christopher Morel brings a seven-Game hit streak into this series, and he’s posting identical stats of sixteen homers and 48 RBI.

Nico Hoerner has recorded a hit in five of the last seven contests, and he leads the Cubbies in hits (112) and RBI (57).

Dansby Swanson has produced a run in five of the previous eight Games, and he’s posting splits of .263/12/47.  

Longtime Cub Ian Happ went yard in the game three victory, and he’s averaging a line of .248/10/46.

Corey’s Free Pick

Chicago took to narrow Game one loss personally, and aftering clobbering Cincinnati in back-to-back nights, their momentum is a bit much to ignore here. The Cubs have won twelve of their last fourteen Games, and their plying out of their minds at the plate right now. If they can get another solid out from Jameson Taillon here, they should be able to win this divisional series here in Game four. Lets back Chicago here, and don't shy away from the total if it drops before the first pitch in primetime.

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