Phillies vs Blue Jays Prediction - MLB Picks 8/16/23

Toronto Blue Jays (67-54) vs Philadelphia Phillies (65-55)

Game Info: Wednesday, August 16, 2023 at 7:07 pm (Rogers Centre)

Kevin Gausman (9-6) (3.04) vs Aaron Nola (9-8) (4.49)

Betting Odds: Toronto Blue Jays -162 / Philadelphia Phillies +136 --- Over/Under: 8 Click Here for the Latest Odds

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The Philadelphia Phillies will play the Toronto Blue Jays in Game 2 of their series on Wednesday night at the Rogers Centre in Toronto, Ontario. Toronto won the first Game in this series by a score of 2-1 on Tuesday night in a pitching duel. Both teams were very good on the mound in this one, with both teams scoring a run in the six inning and Toronto scoring the winning run in the eighth. 

Phillies Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 65-55 this season and they have lost three games in a row. Prior to this series, Philadelphia lost two out of three games to the Twins at home. The Phillies had been hitting the ball very well, but they have only scored two runs in their last three games. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average this season. The Phillies offense has scored 551 runs with a .255 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Bryce Harper is batting .286 with seven home runs and 38 RBI’s for the Phillies. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Aaron Nola, who is 9-8 with a 4.49 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 148.1 innings pitched this year. 

Blue Jays Preview

The Toronto Blue Jays are 67-54 this season and they have lost three of their last five Games. Toronto had struggled a little bit coming into this series, losing four out of seven Games to the Cubs and Guardians. The Toronto pitching staff has a 3.68 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .239 opponent batting average. The Blue Jays offense has scored 542 runs with a .260 batting average and a .331 on base percentage this year. George Springer is batting .259 with 14 home runs and 48 RBI’s for the Blue Jays. The projected starting pitcher for Toronto is Kevin Gausman, who is 9-6 with a 3.04 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 139 innings pitched this season. 

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Matchup/League Facts

The Philadelphia Phillies are one of only 4 teams in the league to rank top 10 in both steals and batting average this season.

The Philadelphia Phillies ranks T5th in the league for triples this season (21).

The Toronto Blue Jays ranks 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.70).

The Toronto Blue Jays ranks 2nd in the league for runs allowed this season (481).

Pick

The Blue Jays have struggled to hit the ball consistently over the last couple of weeks, but they have one of the best team ERA’s in the MLB. Toronto is 32-26 at home this season, while Philadelphia is 31-31 on the road. The Phillies are starting Aaron Nola, who has allowed 11 earned runs in his last three starts (15 IP). Toronto is starting Kevin Gausman, who has allowed eight earned runs in his last four starts (23.1 IP). Gausman threw seven shutout innings in his last start against Cleveland and he is facing a Philadelphia team that has only scored two runs in their last three Games. Take the under here. 

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